

The Sustainability recession dominated 2025, with headwinds emanating from the U.S.
Dozens of reports, surveys, and studies indicate that corporate sustainability and the energy transition are growing.
Europe backtracked on its Green Deal, but the rest of the world forged ahead with new sustainability rules.
Sustainability frameworks and standards consolidated for the most part, with some fracturing in the carbon accounting space.
Ten years on from the Paris Agreement, 1.5°C seems out of reach.
Back in January, I said, “The pendulum has never swung so far so fast.” Back then, when everything was moving at lightning speed, we knew we were entering a very difficult period for sustainability. It’s fair to say we underestimated the speed and scale of the rollbacks, which are still unfolding every day.
Some have characterized this period as a sustainability recession. Others have said that this year was a “necessary correction” - meaning overly ambitious sustainability aspirations have been replaced by more business-oriented and realistic commitments.
But as we settled into the new reality, it became clear that despite the onslaught, most companies are continuing with their sustainability programs. Indeed, many are doubling down on sustainability even as regulations and incentives are pulled away.
First, it was a trickle, then a deluge of surveys and reports confirming that more companies than ever are taking action on climate and sustainability. In the famous quote from Mike Tyson “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face.” As we wrap up one of the worst years ever for the sustainability movement, the data is clear - this profession took a huge punch, but kept moving forward.
This year has been a whirlwind, and in some cases, our newsletter had a trigger warning for all the depressing news. It was hard to summarize everything that happened in 2025, but here are a few of the more epic events:
👉 We are doing a short survey below to get a feel for how the sustainability communities feel, moving into 2026. I would appreciate any responses.
What will happen to the pace of renewable energy and clean-tech adoption in 2026?
What will be the biggest barrier to sustainability progress in 2026?
What is your sustainability outlook for 2026?
What will be the biggest driver of sustainability action in 2026?
1. Global Headwinds Emanating From the US

President Donald J trump signing executive orders
On January 20th, 2025, the 47th US President, Donald Trump, was inaugurated and signed a raft of executive orders, pulling the US out of the Paris Agreement, and signalling the end of the US focus on climate, what he called the “green new scam.”
Subsequently, the Administration's flagship tax bill, “The One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” erased much of the Inflation Reduction Act – the most significant US climate bill ever. That, in addition to the removal of long-held environmental and climate policies under the US Environmental Protection Agency, resulted in a full 180-degree turn from the Biden Administration’s climate legacy.
US Policy Changes
The new Administration acted quickly to abandon the Securities Exchange Commission’s long-awaited climate reporting rule and rescind mandatory climate reporting for federal suppliers. Some of the significant moves from the EPA included:
Removing the Endangerment Finding – a scientific legal precedent that says greenhouse gases endanger human health and welfare, which underpins all US climate policies and rules.
Global Campaign Against the “Green Scam”
Trump’s campaign against sustainability did not stay within US borders. The Administration withdrew from several multilateral agreements, including the Sustainable Development Goals and the Loss and Damage Fund. Additionally, trade and tariffs were used as leverage to convince other countries to relax their sustainability programs:
At COP30 in November, the US failed to send a delegation, and a UN report found that Trump’s policies would add 0.1°C of warming.
Threats were made to roll back Europe’s sustainability rules, including the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), a major influence on Europe’s ‘Omnibus’ simplification drive.
The EU, as well as Japan and South Korea, were also leveraged to sign deals to offtake more US fossil fuels.
Impact on the Market
These policies and Trump’s general opposition to sustainability have led to a year of ‘greenhushing,’ in which companies are less likely to talk about their sustainability progress. One Harvard study found that of the 85% of companies that have maintained or expanded their sustainability programs, only 16% have publicly reaffirmed those commitments.
There was also a concerted campaign against the sustainability policies of both enterprises and financial institutions. Republican-led states passed laws against “ESG investing’ and pulled state funds from asset managers, prompting many to back away from their climate commitments. Many left groups like ClimateAction 100+, the Net Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA), and Net Zero Asset Managers (NZAM).
Backlash to the Backlash
As the ‘shock and awe’ wore off, states stepped up with their own climate policies. And companies that continued to work on sustainability were rewarded with customer loyalty.
In recent months, the asset managers that pulled back on climate action have felt the pinch:
A large Dutch pension fund this week withdrew $5.9 billion from BlackRock. Following another Dutch fund that withdrew $34 billion from the firm, and others earlier in the year, due to their climate stance.
Last month, New York's outgoing comptroller, Brad Lander, advised two New York pension funds to withdraw investments from three asset managers that were not doing enough on climate investing.
2. More Reporting, Targets, Clean Teach, and ROI

This year has been dubbed the “Sustainability Recession.” However, as we shared in our most popular edition of the year, “What Sustainability Recession?” Companies may have been quieter, but they kept moving forward.
Dozens of surveys, reports, and studies show that corporate sustainability budgets will be maintained or expanded. Instead of listing all of these reports, we compiled this list of more than 30 reports from the past year, along with key takeaways for your review. Two of my favorites revealed:
More companies than ever are conducting sustainability reporting. The OECD reported that 91% of global market capitalization disclosed sustainability information, up from 86% two years ago.
The Energy Transition Continued to Accelerate
Despite a global trade war and the US retreat, the energy transition continues to gather steam, driven by cheap Chinese clean tech and expiring tax credits. Here are some of the progress and milestones reached this year:
Despite pushback on renewables, they still accounted for more than 90% of new U.S. capacity additions. But that could slow next year as tax credits run out.
3. EU Backtracks On Sustainability, Others Move Ahead

The EU’s ‘Omnibus Simplification Package’ was the most common theme across our newsletter this year, owing to the seismic nature of ‘simplifying’ many of the EU’s main sustainability regulations. As of this week, the Omnibus I has been adopted and finalized after a parliamentary vote on the simplifications we highlighted last week.
Here is a snapshot of how each major EU rule will finish the year.
Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD): Despite the CSRD coming into force in 2024, and many companies already reporting. The Omnibus “Stopped the Clock ” pausing compliance for many companies while the final Omnibus was adopted. While the objective was to reduce 25% of the burden, the final policy – adopted just days ago - cut 80% of the companies that were in scope for CSRD. Mandatory data points in the European reporting standards were also cut by more than 60%
Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CS3D): Europe’s supply chain due diligence rule was even more controversial. Its scope was reduced by 70%, and it was further weakened by limiting due diligence to first-tier suppliers, reporting every five years, removing the climate transition plan requirement, delaying transposition to 2028, and compliance to 2029.
European Union Deforestation Rule (EUDR): Finally, this week, after considerable uncertainty, the EU delayed the deforestation rule. The new compliance deadlines are 30 December 2026 for large companies and 30 June 2027 for small companies.
Gas-Powered Car Ban: This week, the EU also decided to weaken its 2035 ban on combustion engines. Instead of reducing emissions by 55% by 2030, automakers have until 2032.
However, Europe continued its leadership by setting a binding 90% emissions reduction 2040 goal and by following through on the world’s first carbon tariff, the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism.
More environmental deregulation is on tap next year as the EU has already announced its next environmental Omnibus simplification effort.
California and ISSB Move Forward
While the EU backtracked, other climate regulations moved forward:
California climate rules continue to move ahead. This month, California released its proposed regulation. Emissions reporting (SB 253) is due by August 10th. However, the climate risk reporting (SB 261) component of the bill, which had a January 1st deadline, is currently subject to a court injunction.
In its mid-year progress report, the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) announced that its climate reporting standards are being adopted by 39 jurisdictions representing 40% of global GDP.
4. Sustainability Frameworks and Standard Landscape Continues To Evolve

There was more consolidation and interoperability across sustainability standards in 2025, however, fragmentation persists:
New European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRS): Europe’s Financial Reporting Advisory Group just released its simplified standards, cutting 100% voluntary and 61% of mandatory data points, a simplified structure and language, and greater interoperability with the ISSB standards.
GHG Protocol Scope 2 and ISO collaboration: The two major players in the carbon accounting space, the GHG Protocol and ISO, announced a partnership to integrate their standards into a single framework to simplify emissions reporting. The GHG Protocol also released a draft update to its Scope 2 standard with more stringent requirements.
Carbon Measures: A new carbon reporting group with backing from the fossil fuel industry is driving for a ledger-style carbon measurement system that would eliminate all downstream emissions.
The Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi): The SBTi released its second draft of its revised Net Zero Standard in November after a comment period on the first draft. The primary changes are summarized here. They included flexibility for value chain emissions (Scope 3) and added stringency for the use of renewable energy credits
ISSB and the Taskforce on Nature Related Financial Disclosures (TNFD): The ISSB announced that it would release a TNFD-aligned nature reporting framework. In turn, TNFD announced it would cease technical standard-setting.
Circularity Protocol: The World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) released a new protocol for measuring circularity. The Global Circularity Protocol for Business (GCP) is the first version of a standard that frames, prepares, measures, manages, and communicates progress toward a circular economy.
Nature Measurement Protocol: The Nature Measurement Protocol, also developed by the WBCSD, will be created in conjunction with the TNFD and other groups. It will enable a single shared language for scalable, interoperable measurement of key nature-related metrics.
Taskforce on Inequality and Social-related Financial Disclosures (TISFD). The TISFD released its first discussion paper in 2025. The Conceptual Foundations draft provides key terms, definitions, and concepts and serves as the basis for a disclosure framework to be released by TISFD in Spring 2026.
5. 1.5°C Goal Gone

At the 10-year mark since the signing of the Paris Agreement, it seems ironic to concede that the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C is no longer attainable. Unfortunately, it appears that way. This month, the EU’s Copernicus program confirmed that 2025 will be the second- or third-hottest year on record, making it the third consecutive year above 1.5°C on average. And the temperature records aren’t likely to stop any time soon. 2025 was another record year for emissions, up 1.1% from 2024.
There were a lot of positives around global decarbonization in 2025, with China’s emissions plateauing and committing to its first emissions reduction goals. In addition to the UN’s Emissions Gap Report finding that the new country goals (Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)) now represent a warming of 2.8°C, down from last year's 3.1°C.
However, these record-breaking temperatures are increasingly accompanied by worsening extreme weather events, wildfires, and heat waves. All contributing to the first half of 2025 being the most expensive 6-month period on record for climate disasters, following the most expensive year on record in 2024.
The views expressed on this website/weblog are mine alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of my employer.
Other Notable News:
State Climate Actions:
SBTi
Sustainability Reporting
EU
Trump 2.0
Notable Podcasts:
In this week’s episode of Joel Makower and Solitaire Townsend's Two Steps Forward podcast, ask what it means to be a sustainability thought leader in 2026. Together, they explore why, at a time when sustainability leadership is needed, many companies have taken to ‘greenhushing’ and the risks of doing so.
In the final episode of Outrage and Optimism of the year, the podcast team reflects on the 10th anniversary of the Paris Agreement. They ask: Was it diplomacy’s greatest breakthrough, or the beginning of a myth we still rely on? And is the Paris Agreement still our best chance at limiting the impacts of climate change - or simply the only chance we have?






